NPFL · Nigeria · Mobolaji Johnson Arena

Sporting Lagos

LWWDD
Tue 10 Nov 2026

Rivers United

DLDDW

Sporting Lagos vs Rivers United prediction & analysis

81%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23

9/10Rating
–Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultRivers United to win49% · fair 2.04
Double chanceEither team to win89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–113% · fair 7.76

Win chances

Sporting Lagos40%fair 2.50
Draw11%fair 9.09
Rivers United49%fair 2.04
2.24Expected goals
1.03Sporting Lagos xG
1.21Rivers United xG
45%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Sporting Lagos 1.0 – 1.2 Rivers United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Rivers United shade it despite being away from home – 49% to win, against 40% for Sporting Lagos.

Sporting Lagos have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Rivers United have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.7 conceded.

We expect around 2.2 goals (1.0 for Sporting Lagos, 1.2 for Rivers United). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 45%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 81% chance.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRivers United to win49%2.04–
Double chanceEither team to win89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score55%1.82–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals66%1.53–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals81%1.23–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rivers United / FT Rivers United23%4.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–113%7.76–

Form

Sporting Lagos – last 6

LWWDDD
1 Nov@ Katsina United1–2L
18 Oct@ Plateau United3–2W
11 Octvs Bendel Insurance2–1W
3 Oct@ Kano Pillars1–1D
30 Sepvs Ikorodu City0–0D
26 Sepvs Barau FC1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rivers United – last 6

DLDDWD
1 Novvs Enugu Rangers1–1D
25 Oct@ Bendel Insurance1–2L
18 Octvs Barau FC0–0D
11 Oct@ Abia Warriors0–0D
4 Octvs Ikorodu City2–0W
30 Sep@ Katsina United1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sporting Lagos and Rivers United.

NPFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Enugu Rangers3819118+2068
2Rivers United3819109+1367
3Shooting Stars3818614+160
4Ikorodu City38161012+458
5Nasarawa United3816814+356
6Abia Warriors3816715-355
7Bendel Insurance37131410+553
8Barau FC38131312+452
9Katsina United37141013-252
10Kano Pillars3815617-251
11Plateau United3815518-150
12Kwara United38131114-150
13Enyimba38131015+249
14Kun Khalifat FC38131015-149
15Warri Wolves38131015-549
16Niger Tornadoes3813916+148
17Remo Stars3814519-547
18El Kanemi Warriors3813817-1647
19Bayelsa United38111017-543
20Wikki Tourist3891316-1240

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Lagos vs Rivers United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance.

Who will win Sporting Lagos vs Rivers United?

On our numbers Sporting Lagos have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Rivers United 49%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Lagos vs Rivers United?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

When is Sporting Lagos vs Rivers United?

Sporting Lagos vs Rivers United (NPFL) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mobolaji Johnson Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.