1st Division · South-Africa
Midlands Wanderers
Lerumo Lions
Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.46 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Lerumo Lions to win @ 2.58 – our chance 46% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Midlands Wanderers 0.9 – 1.2 Lerumo Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Lerumo Lions shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 30% for Midlands Wanderers.
Midlands Wanderers have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Lerumo Lions have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. Lerumo Lions come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.1 goals (0.9 for Midlands Wanderers, 1.2 for Lerumo Lions). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Midlands Wanderers have won 0, Lerumo Lions have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.46 is close to our fair price of 1.56. For a bigger price, Lerumo Lions to win at 2.58 is our value angle (46% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lerumo Lions to win ✓ | 46% | 2.17 | 2.58 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.32 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 2.01 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.47 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.46 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.21 | 1.13 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lerumo Lions / FT Lerumo Lions | 25% | 4.07 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 15% | 6.59 | – |
Form
Midlands Wanderers – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ The Bees | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Oct | vs Upington City | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Venda FC | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Leicesterfield | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs NWU FC | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Sep | @ Casric Stars | 0–1 | L |
Lerumo Lions – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs University of Pretoria | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Leicesterfield | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | @ Highbury | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Hope FC | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ The Bees | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Casric Stars | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 10 May 2026 | Midlands Wanderers v Lerumo Lions | 1–1 |
More 1st Division predictions
Leicesterfield0
Casric Stars2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
64%@1.44
✓
FT
Magesi1
Orbit College1
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
65%@1.48
✓
FT
University of Pretoria2
Gomora United FC2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
67%@1.43
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions?
On our numbers Midlands Wanderers have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lerumo Lions 46%.
How many goals will there be in Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions?
Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.