Serie D Girone I · ItalyNissa vs CastrumFavara prediction & analysis
Nissa to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.94 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Nissa 1.8 – 0.8 CastrumFavara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Nissa are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 21% for CastrumFavara.
Nissa have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 per game. CastrumFavara have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 for Nissa, 0.8 for CastrumFavara). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Nissa to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.94 is better than our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Nissa to win ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.94 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.27 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | Nissa ahead at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Nissa / FT Nissa ✓ | 38% | 2.67 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.66 | – |
Form
Nissa – last 6
| 25 Oct | @ Sambiase | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Reggina | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Ragusa | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Igea Virtus | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Vibonese | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Calcio Avola | 2–4 | L |
CastrumFavara – last 6
| 28 Oct | vs Reggina | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Trapani 1905 | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Igea Virtus | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Vigor Lamezia | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Calcio Avola | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Modica | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nissa and CastrumFavara.
Serie D Girone I table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Reggina | 11 | +21 | 26 |
| 2 |  Sambiase | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 3 |  Vibonese | 11 | +14 | 24 |
| 4 |  Calcio Avola | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Milazzo | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Digiesse PraiaTortora | 11 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Igea Virtus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Gela | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Siracusa | 11 | +8 | 14 |
| 10 |  AC Palermo | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Licata | 11 | -11 | 14 |
| 12 |  Modica | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Nissa | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Trapani 1905 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  CastrumFavara | 11 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Vigor Lamezia | 11 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Ragusa | 11 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 |  Enna | 11 | -23 | 3 |
More Serie D Girone I predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Nissa vs CastrumFavara?
Our pick is Nissa to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.94.
Who will win Nissa vs CastrumFavara?
On our numbers Nissa have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 15% and CastrumFavara 21%.
How many goals will there be in Nissa vs CastrumFavara?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Nissa vs CastrumFavara?
Nissa vs CastrumFavara (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.