Serie D Girone C · Italy · Stadio Rino Mercante

Bassano Virtus

DLLWW
1–1
FT

Calvi Noale

DLLLW

Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale prediction & analysis

60%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2

Value bet: Calvi Noale to win @ 3.15 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultBassano Virtus to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.87

Win chances

Bassano Virtus39%fair 2.56 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.05
Calvi Noale37%fair 2.74 · @3.15
2.17Expected goals
1.11Bassano Virtus xG
1.06Calvi Noale xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Bassano Virtus 1.1 – 1.1 Calvi Noale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Bassano Virtus and Calvi Noale on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Bassano Virtus have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Calvi Noale have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded. Bassano Virtus come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.2 goals (1.1 for Bassano Virtus, 1.1 for Calvi Noale). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (12%).

In their last 1 meeting, Bassano Virtus have won 0, Calvi Noale have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.68. For a bigger price, Calvi Noale to win at 3.15 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBassano Virtus to win ✗39%2.562.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.31
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.84
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.681.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bassano Virtus / FT Bassano Virtus ✗21%4.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.87–

Form

Bassano Virtus – last 6

DLLWWW
1 Nov@ Clodiense0–0D
25 Octvs Sandona0–3L
18 Oct@ Virtus Bolzano1–2L
11 Octvs Brian Lignano1–0W
4 Oct@ Legnago Salus2–0W
27 Sepvs Schio2–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Calvi Noale – last 6

DLLLWL
1 Nov@ Luparense2–2D
25 Octvs Este0–1L
18 Oct@ Clodiense2–3L
11 Octvs Sandona0–2L
4 Oct@ Virtus Bolzano3–1W
27 Sepvs Brian Lignano0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Bassano Virtus v Calvi Noale0–1

More Serie D Girone C predictions

FT Altavilla1 Este2 362837 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 59%@1.60 ✗ FT Campodarsego0 Luparense0 392436 GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.72 ✗ FT Cjarlins Muzane0 Clodiense0 592218 1XCjarlins Muzane or draw 82%@1.22 ✓ FT Conegliano1 Brian Lignano1 592615 1Conegliano to win 59%@1.75 ✗ FT Mestre1 Legnago Salus1 452233 GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.80 ✓ FT FC Obermais2 Sandona0 302247 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.21 ✓ FT LME3 Virtus Bolzano3 452233 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓ FT Triestina1 Schio1 652312 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.26 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale?

On our numbers Bassano Virtus have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Calvi Noale 37%.

How many goals will there be in Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

When is Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale?

Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Rino Mercante.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.