Serie D Girone B · Italy

Real Calepina

DDWLL
0–4
FT

Chievo

WWLDL

Real Calepina vs Chievo prediction & analysis

81%
Footrivo pick

Chievo or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Chievo to win @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultChievo to win ✓56% · @1.93
Double chanceChievo or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.69

Win chances

Real Calepina19%fair 5.23 · @3.50
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.30
Chievo56%fair 1.80 · @1.93
2.90Expected goals
1.03Real Calepina xG
1.87Chievo xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%

From our goals model: Real Calepina 1.0 – 1.9 Chievo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Chievo shade it despite being away from home – 56% to win, against 19% for Real Calepina.

Real Calepina have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Chievo have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.9 goals (1.0 for Real Calepina, 1.9 for Chievo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Real Calepina have won 1, Chievo have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Chievo or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.24. For a bigger price, Chievo to win at 1.93 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChievo to win ✓56%1.801.93 ▲
Double chanceChievo or draw ✓81%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.681.72
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.891.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
Half-time resultChievo ahead at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chievo / FT Chievo ✓36%2.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.69–

Form

Real Calepina – last 6

DDWLLW
1 Nov@ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo1–1D
25 Octvs Pavonese1–1D
18 Oct@ Club Milano2–1W
11 Octvs Villa Valle0–3L
7 Octvs Leon0–2L
4 Oct@ Rovato Vertovese1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Chievo – last 6

WWLDLW
31 Octvs Fiorenzuola2–1W
25 Oct@ Leon4–0W
18 Octvs Milan II1–2L
11 Oct@ Virtus Verona1–1D
7 Oct@ Brusaporto1–2L
4 Octvs Tritium5–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Real Calepina v Chievo1–0

More Serie D Girone B predictions

FT Milan II3 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo0 662013 1Milan II to win 66%@1.72 ✓ FT Brusaporto0 Piacenza2 132166 2Piacenza to win 66%@1.57 ✓ FT Caldiero Terme2 Villa Valle0 412435 GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.74 ✗ FT Fiorenzuola1 Club Milano2 382536 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 60%@1.62 ✗ FT Leon4 Virtus Verona1 492229 GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.72 ✓ FT Nibbiano & Valtidone1 Tritium1 672112 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.26 ✓ FT Scanzorosciate3 Pavonese3 432334 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Calepina vs Chievo?

Our pick is Chievo or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Real Calepina vs Chievo?

On our numbers Real Calepina have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chievo 56%.

How many goals will there be in Real Calepina vs Chievo?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

When is Real Calepina vs Chievo?

Real Calepina vs Chievo (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.