Liga 1 · Indonesia · Bung Karno Stadium

Persija

LWWLW
1–0
FT

Persebaya Surabaya

DWLDW

Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

Persija to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.54 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.54Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultPersija to win ✓68% · @1.54
Double chancePersija or draw ✓88% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.43

Win chances

Persija68%fair 1.47 · @1.54
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.68
Persebaya Surabaya12%fair 8.52 · @5.00
2.71Expected goals
2.01Persija xG
0.70Persebaya Surabaya xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: Persija 2.0 – 0.7 Persebaya Surabaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Persija are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 12% for Persebaya Surabaya.

Persija have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Persebaya Surabaya have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.7 goals (2.0 for Persija, 0.7 for Persebaya Surabaya). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 2–1 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Persija have won 0, Persebaya Surabaya have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Persija to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.54 is better than our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPersija to win ✓68%1.471.54
Double chancePersija or draw ✓88%1.131.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.79
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.341.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.421.30
Half-time resultPersija ahead at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Persija / FT Persija ✗44%2.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13%7.43–

Form

Persija – last 6

LWWLWW
31 Oct@ Dewa United1–2L
26 Octvs Persik Kediri2–1W
21 Octvs Arema FC5–1W
17 Oct@ Persita2–3L
10 Oct@ PSIM Yogyakarta4–0W
19 Sepvs Java United1–0W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Persebaya Surabaya – last 6

DWLDWD
30 Octvs Persijap1–1D
26 Octvs Persepam Madura Utd3–1W
22 Oct@ PSM Makassar0–1L
18 Octvs PSS Sleman2–2D
9 Oct@ Isenmulang Kalteng1–0W
19 Sepvs Garudayaksa1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jul 2026Persebaya Surabaya v Persija1–0

More Liga 1 predictions

FT Pusamania Borneo1 PSM Makassar1 631918 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.22 ✓ FT Persijap1 Garudayaksa2 322147 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓ FT Persita0 Isenmulang Kalteng1 711713 1Persita to win 71%@1.30 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Our pick is Persija to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.54.

Who will win Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?

On our numbers Persija have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Persebaya Surabaya 12%.

How many goals will there be in Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

When is Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Bung Karno Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.