Derde Divisie Saturday · Netherlands
Purmersteijn
Hollandia
Purmersteijn vs Hollandia prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Purmersteijn to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Purmersteijn 2.5 – 1.3 Hollandia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Purmersteijn are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 19% for Hollandia.
Purmersteijn have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 per game. Hollandia have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.8 goals (2.5 for Purmersteijn, 1.3 for Hollandia). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%), 1–1 (7%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.37. For a bigger price, Purmersteijn to win at 1.67 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Purmersteijn to win ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.67 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 70% | 1.44 | 1.29 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 90% | 1.12 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.73 |
| Half-time result | Purmersteijn ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Purmersteijn / FT Purmersteijn ✗ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.09 | – |
Form
Purmersteijn – last 6
| 29 Oct | vs Gemert | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ TEC | 2–5 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Sparta Nijkerk | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ ACV | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Harkemase Boys | 4–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ SC Genemuiden | 0–2 | L |
Hollandia – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Eemdijk | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs VV Scherpenzeel | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ SVZW | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Staphorst | 2–4 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Hercules | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ DVS 33 Ermelo | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Purmersteijn and Hollandia.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Purmersteijn vs Hollandia?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Purmersteijn vs Hollandia?
On our numbers Purmersteijn have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Hollandia 19%.
How many goals will there be in Purmersteijn vs Hollandia?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
When is Purmersteijn vs Hollandia?
Purmersteijn vs Hollandia (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.