Derde Divisie Saturday · Netherlands

Staphorst

LWWLL
1–3
FT

Eemdijk

LLWWD

Staphorst vs Eemdijk prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Staphorst to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.80Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultStaphorst to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94

Win chances

Staphorst63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
Draw16%fair 6.15 · @3.84
Eemdijk20%fair 4.93 · @3.26
3.77Expected goals
2.45Staphorst xG
1.32Eemdijk xG
67%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–06%

From our goals model: Staphorst 2.5 – 1.3 Eemdijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Staphorst are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 20% for Eemdijk.

Staphorst have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.7 per game. Eemdijk have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.

We expect around 3.8 goals (2.5 for Staphorst, 1.3 for Eemdijk). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (7%), 1–1 (7%).

Our pick is Staphorst to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStaphorst to win ✗63%1.581.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.191.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.501.33
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.421.32
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.971.86
Half-time resultStaphorst ahead at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Staphorst / FT Staphorst ✗41%2.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.94–

Form

Staphorst – last 6

LWWLLL
24 Oct@ Hercules1–4L
17 Octvs DVS 33 Ermelo2–1W
10 Oct@ Hollandia4–2W
3 Octvs TEC0–3L
26 Sep@ Sparta Nijkerk2–3L
22 Sepvs SC Genemuiden2–3L
1.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Eemdijk – last 6

LLWWDL
31 Octvs Hollandia0–1L
28 Oct@ Quick Boys0–4L
23 Octvs Sportlust '463–1W
17 Octvs Hercules2–0W
10 Oct@ DVS 33 Ermelo2–2D
26 Sep@ TEC2–7L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Staphorst and Eemdijk.

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Staphorst vs Eemdijk?

Our pick is Staphorst to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Staphorst vs Eemdijk?

On our numbers Staphorst have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Eemdijk 20%.

How many goals will there be in Staphorst vs Eemdijk?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

When is Staphorst vs Eemdijk?

Staphorst vs Eemdijk (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.