Tercera División RFEF Group 17 · Spain

Binéfar

DDWLW
0–0
FT

Almudévar

WLDDL

Binéfar vs Almudévar prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.29Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultBinéfar to win ✗59% · @1.79
Double chanceBinéfar or draw ✓81% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.53

Win chances

Binéfar59%fair 1.69 · @1.79
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.24
Almudévar19%fair 5.39 · @3.92
2.75Expected goals
1.84Binéfar xG
0.92Almudévar xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%

From our goals model: Binéfar 1.8 – 0.9 Almudévar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Binéfar hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 19% for Almudévar.

Binéfar have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.7 per game. Almudévar have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. Binéfar come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 for Binéfar, 0.9 for Almudévar). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.29 is close to our fair price of 1.37.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBinéfar to win ✗59%1.691.79 ▲
Double chanceBinéfar or draw ✓81%1.231.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.84
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.371.29
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.69
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.381.21
Half-time resultBinéfar ahead at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Binéfar / FT Binéfar ✗37%2.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.53–

Form

Binéfar – last 6

DDWLWD
1 Nov@ Real Zaragoza II3–3D
25 Octvs Huesca II1–1D
18 Oct@ Atlético Monzón3–1W
10 Oct@ Fraga0–2L
3 Oct@ Robres2–1W
27 Sepvs Caspe2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Almudévar – last 6

WLDDLL
1 Novvs Andorra CF2–0W
25 Oct@ Real Zaragoza II0–4L
17 Octvs CD Sietamo0–0D
10 Oct@ Huesca II0–0D
4 Octvs Illueca0–1L
26 Sep@ Atlético Monzón1–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Binéfar and Almudévar.

More Tercera División RFEF Group 17 predictions

FT Épila0 Real Zaragoza II1 152362 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Binéfar vs Almudévar?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Binéfar vs Almudévar?

On our numbers Binéfar have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Almudévar 19%.

How many goals will there be in Binéfar vs Almudévar?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

When is Binéfar vs Almudévar?

Binéfar vs Almudévar (Tercera División RFEF Group 17) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.