Tercera División RFEF Group 15 · Spain

Subiza

LWLWL
2–1
FT

Txantrea

WWDDL

Subiza vs Txantrea prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Subiza to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.60Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSubiza to win ✓62% · @1.60
Double chanceSubiza or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.61
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.52

Win chances

Subiza62%fair 1.61 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.80
Txantrea17%fair 5.82 · @4.30
2.95Expected goals
2.01Subiza xG
0.95Txantrea xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Subiza 2.0 – 0.9 Txantrea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Subiza are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 17% for Txantrea.

Subiza have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 per game. Txantrea have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 for Subiza, 0.9 for Txantrea). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Subiza have won 0, Txantrea have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Subiza to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is close to our fair price of 1.61.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSubiza to win ✓62%1.611.60
Double chanceSubiza or draw ✓83%1.211.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.711.61
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.16
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.61
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.551.43
Half-time resultSubiza ahead at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Subiza / FT Subiza ✓40%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10%9.52–

Form

Subiza – last 6

LWLWLW
31 Oct@ Izarra0–2L
25 Octvs Cortes3–1W
17 Oct@ Beti Kozkor1–2L
11 Octvs Bidezarra2–1W
3 Oct@ San Juan1–2L
27 Sepvs Cirbonero2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Txantrea – last 6

WWDDLD
31 Octvs Beti Onak2–1W
24 Octvs Pamplona5–1W
18 Oct@ Izarra0–0D
8 Octvs Cortes0–0D
3 Oct@ Beti Kozkor0–2L
26 Sepvs Bidezarra2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Subiza v Txantrea2–2

More Tercera División RFEF Group 15 predictions

FT Gazte Berriak0 Cirbonero0 482231 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Subiza vs Txantrea?

Our pick is Subiza to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Subiza vs Txantrea?

On our numbers Subiza have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Txantrea 17%.

How many goals will there be in Subiza vs Txantrea?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

When is Subiza vs Txantrea?

Subiza vs Txantrea (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.