Tercera División RFEF Group 13 · Spain
Santomera
Mazarrón FC
Santomera vs Mazarrón FC prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Santomera 2.1 – 1.1 Mazarrón FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Santomera are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 18% for Mazarrón FC.
Santomera have taken 18 points from their last 6 matches (6W 0D 0L), scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.7 per game. Mazarrón FC have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded. Santomera come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (2.1 for Santomera, 1.1 for Mazarrón FC). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Santomera have won 0, Mazarrón FC have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.28.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Santomera to win ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | Santomera or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.71 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.78 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.31 |
| Half-time result | Santomera ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Santomera / FT Santomera ✗ | 39% | 2.54 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.08 | – |
Form
Santomera – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Olímpico Totana | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs San Javier | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Balsicas Atlético | 3–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Atlético Pulpileño | 3–2 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Bullas Deportivo | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Algar | 2–0 | W |
Mazarrón FC – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Bullas Deportivo | 5–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Algar | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ UCAM Murcia II | 1–5 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs SFC Minerva | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Unión Molinense | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Santa Cruz | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 15 Mar 2026 | Mazarrón FC v Santomera | 5–0 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 13 predictions
Los Garres2
Cotillas CD0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
69%@1.33
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Santomera vs Mazarrón FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Santomera vs Mazarrón FC?
On our numbers Santomera have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mazarrón FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Santomera vs Mazarrón FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Santomera vs Mazarrón FC?
Santomera vs Mazarrón FC (Tercera División RFEF Group 13) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.