Tercera División RFEF Group 9 · Spain
Motril
Almería II
Motril vs Almería II prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.34 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Motril 1.2 – 1.3 Almería II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Motril and Almería II on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Motril have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Almería II have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Motril, 1.3 for Almería II). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.34 is close to our fair price of 1.46.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Almería II to win ✗ | 40% | 2.53 | 2.67 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.46 | 1.34 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.61 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.18 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Almería II / FT Almería II ✗ | 22% | 4.53 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 8.96 | – |
Form
Motril – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Granada II | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Málaga II | 2–4 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Cantoria | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Atlético Porcuna | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ UD San Pedro | 3–2 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Alhaurino | 2–0 | W |
Almería II – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Churriana Vega | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Atletico de Marbella | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Granada II | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Málaga II | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Cantoria | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Atlético Porcuna | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Motril and Almería II.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Motril vs Almería II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Motril vs Almería II?
On our numbers Motril have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Almería II 40%.
How many goals will there be in Motril vs Almería II?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Motril vs Almería II?
Motril vs Almería II (Tercera División RFEF Group 9) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.