Tercera División RFEF Group 5 · Spain
Montañesa
Tona
Montañesa vs Tona prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Montañesa 1.2 – 1.0 Tona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Montañesa hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 34% for Tona.
Montañesa have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Tona have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.2 for Montañesa, 1.0 for Tona). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Montañesa have won 0, Tona have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.29.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Montañesa to win ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | 2.13 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.79 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.31 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.68 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Montañesa / FT Montañesa ✗ | 23% | 4.30 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.73 | – |
Form
Montañesa – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ San Cristóbal | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Vilassar Mar | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Cerdanyola del Vallès | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Oct | vs L'Escala | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Martinenc | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Europa II | 0–1 | L |
Tona – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Martinenc | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ L'Escala | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Europa II | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Grama | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Badalona | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ San Juan Atletico de Montcada | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 29 Mar 2026 | Tona v Montañesa | 0–0 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Montañesa vs Tona?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Montañesa vs Tona?
On our numbers Montañesa have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tona 34%.
How many goals will there be in Montañesa vs Tona?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Montañesa vs Tona?
Montañesa vs Tona (Tercera División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.