Tercera División RFEF Group 4 · Spain
Aretxabaleta
Aurrerá Vitoria
Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Aretxabaleta 1.4 – 1.2 Aurrerá Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Aretxabaleta hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 33% for Aurrerá Vitoria.
Aretxabaleta have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Aurrerá Vitoria have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 for Aretxabaleta, 1.2 for Aurrerá Vitoria). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.24 is close to our fair price of 1.36.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Aretxabaleta to win ✗ | 43% | 2.30 | 2.26 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.76 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.31 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.69 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | 1.24 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Aretxabaleta / FT Aretxabaleta ✗ | 25% | 4.07 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.46 | – |
Form
Aretxabaleta – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Amurrio Club | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Eibar III | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ R. Union B | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Pasaia KE | 4–2 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Lagun Onak | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Derio | 1–2 | L |
Aurrerá Vitoria – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Santurtzi | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ San Ignacio | 0–5 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Real Sociedad III | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Leioa | 0–4 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Erandio | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Sodupe | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aretxabaleta and Aurrerá Vitoria.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
On our numbers Aretxabaleta have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aurrerá Vitoria 33%.
How many goals will there be in Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.