Tercera División RFEF Group 3 · Spain
Vimenor
Castro
Vimenor vs Castro prediction & analysis
Vimenor to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Vimenor 1.9 – 0.6 Castro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Vimenor are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 13% for Castro.
Vimenor have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Castro have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Vimenor come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.9 for Vimenor, 0.6 for Castro). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Vimenor to win at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is better than our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Vimenor to win ✓ | 69% | 1.46 | 1.57 ▲ |
| Double chance | Vimenor or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | 1.82 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.27 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.90 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.35 |
| Half-time result | Vimenor ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Vimenor / FT Vimenor ✓ | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.74 | – |
Form
Vimenor – last 6
| 30 Oct | @ Revilla | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Solares | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Selaya | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Laredo | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Bezana | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Torina | 0–0 | D |
Castro – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Barquereño | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ Naval Reinosa | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Escobedo | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Atlético Albericia | 2–4 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Tropezón | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Atlético Mineros | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vimenor and Castro.
More Tercera División RFEF Group 3 predictions
Cayón1
Solares0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
74%@1.35
✓
FT
Torina2
Bezana2
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
77%@1.23
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Vimenor vs Castro?
Our pick is Vimenor to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Vimenor vs Castro?
On our numbers Vimenor have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Castro 13%.
How many goals will there be in Vimenor vs Castro?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Vimenor vs Castro?
Vimenor vs Castro (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.