Tercera División RFEF Group 1 · Spain
Villalbés
Somozas
Villalbés vs Somozas prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.46 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Villalbés 1.1 – 1.0 Somozas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Villalbés and Somozas on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 27% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Villalbés have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Somozas have 4 points from their last 6 (0W 4D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.1 for Villalbés, 1.0 for Somozas). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (12%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.46 is close to our fair price of 1.57.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Villalbés to win ✗ | 38% | 2.61 | 2.60 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.39 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.49 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.46 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.13 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Villalbés / FT Villalbés ✗ | 21% | 4.81 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.68 | – |
Form
Villalbés – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Celta de Vigo III | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Alondras | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Viveiro | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Estradense | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Silva | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Boiro | 1–1 | D |
Somozas – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Boiro | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ Celtiga | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Coruña | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Atlético Arteixo | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Sarriana | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Antela | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villalbés and Somozas.
More Tercera División RFEF Group 1 predictions
Boiro3
Arenteiro0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
75%@1.23
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Villalbés vs Somozas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win Villalbés vs Somozas?
On our numbers Villalbés have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Somozas 35%.
How many goals will there be in Villalbés vs Somozas?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Villalbés vs Somozas?
Villalbés vs Somozas (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.