Reserve League · Argentina
Tigre Res.
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Tigre Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res. prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Tigre Res. 0.7 – 1.7 Vélez Sársfield Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Vélez Sársfield Res. travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 15% for Tigre Res..
Tigre Res. have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Vélez Sársfield Res. have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. Vélez Sársfield Res. come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (0.7 for Tigre Res., 1.7 for Vélez Sársfield Res.). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Tigre Res. have won 0, Vélez Sársfield Res. have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.34.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Vélez Sársfield Res. to win | 61% | 1.63 | 1.49 |
| Double chance | Vélez Sársfield Res. or draw | 85% | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 51% | 1.98 | 1.99 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | 1.74 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Vélez Sársfield Res. ahead at half-time | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Vélez Sársfield Res. / FT Vélez Sársfield Res. | 38% | 2.60 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 15% | 6.80 | – |
Form
Tigre Res. – last 6
| 3 Nov | @ River Plate Res. | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | vs Racing Club Res. | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Oct | @ Sarmiento Res. | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Oct | vs Argentinos Juniors Res. | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Oct | @ Aldosivi Res. | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Gimnasia La Plata Res. | 2–1 | W |
Vélez Sársfield Res. – last 6
| 4 Nov | vs San Lorenzo Res. | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | @ Instituto Res. | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | @ River Plate Res. | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Oct | vs Racing Club Res. | 4–0 | W |
| 8 Oct | @ Sarmiento Res. | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Oct | vs Argentinos Juniors Res. | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 10 Jun 2026 | Vélez Sársfield Res. v Tigre Res. | 2–0 |
More Reserve League predictions
Atlético Tucumán Res.
Unión Santa Fe Res.
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
69%@1.33
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Aldosivi Res.
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
76%@1.24
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Tigre Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tigre Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?
On our numbers Tigre Res. have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vélez Sársfield Res. 61%.
How many goals will there be in Tigre Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Tigre Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?
Tigre Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.