1. Liga Classic Group 3 · Switzerland
Winterthur II
Locarno
Winterthur II vs Locarno prediction & analysis
Winterthur II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
Value bet: Winterthur II to win @ 1.88 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Winterthur II 1.8 – 1.0 Locarno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Winterthur II hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 20% for Locarno.
Winterthur II have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.7 per game. Locarno have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. Locarno come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 for Winterthur II, 1.0 for Locarno). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (10%).
Our pick is Winterthur II or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.25. For a bigger price, Winterthur II to win at 1.88 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Winterthur II to win ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.88 ▲ |
| Double chance | Winterthur II or draw ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.54 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.16 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.61 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.41 |
| Half-time result | Winterthur II ahead at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.39 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Winterthur II / FT Winterthur II ✗ | 36% | 2.78 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.97 | – |
Form
Winterthur II – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Dietikon | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs Tuggen | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Eschen Mauren | 0–4 | L |
| 9 Oct | @ Wettswil-Bonstetten | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs St. Gallen II | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Freienbach | 3–2 | W |
Locarno – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Collina d'Oro | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Mendrisio | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Concordia Lausanne | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Kosova | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Thalwil | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Baden | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Winterthur II and Locarno.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Winterthur II vs Locarno?
Our pick is Winterthur II or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Winterthur II vs Locarno?
On our numbers Winterthur II have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Locarno 20%.
How many goals will there be in Winterthur II vs Locarno?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Winterthur II vs Locarno?
Winterthur II vs Locarno (1. Liga Classic Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.