Women's Championship · England · Gateshead International Stadium
Newcastle United W
Burnley W
Newcastle United W vs Burnley W prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Newcastle United W 2.5 – 0.7 Burnley W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Newcastle United W are clear favourites at home with a 76% chance of winning, against 8% for Burnley W.
Newcastle United W have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Burnley W have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.8 conceded. Newcastle United W come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.5 for Newcastle United W, 0.7 for Burnley W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 3–0 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.50.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Newcastle United W to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.11 |
| Double chance | Newcastle United W or draw ✓ | 92% | 1.09 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.87 |
| Half-time result | Newcastle United W ahead at half-time ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Newcastle United W / FT Newcastle United W ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.10 | – |
Form
Newcastle United W – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Durham W | 5–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Nottingham Forest W | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Oct | @ Everton W | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Sunderland W | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Durham W | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | @ Aston Villa W | 1–3 | L |
Burnley W – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Nottingham Forest W | 0–4 | L |
| 28 Oct | @ Manchester United W | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Sheffield United W | 3–4 | L |
| 21 Oct | vs Aston Villa W | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Durham W | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Nottingham Forest W | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle United W and Burnley W.
More Women's Championship predictions
Durham W1
Sunderland W4
2Sunderland W to win
69%@1.30
✓
FT
Ipswich Town W1
Bristol City W2
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
64%@1.43
✓
FT
Southampton W4
Sheffield United W1
GGBoth teams to score
60%@1.63
✓
FT
Wolverhampton W1
Nottingham Forest W4
2Nottingham Forest W to win
64%@1.60
✓
FT
Leicester City FC W0
Watford W1
1Leicester City FC W to win
66%@1.48
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Newcastle United W vs Burnley W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Newcastle United W vs Burnley W?
On our numbers Newcastle United W have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Burnley W 8%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle United W vs Burnley W?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Newcastle United W vs Burnley W?
Newcastle United W vs Burnley W (Women's Championship) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gateshead International Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.