Serie C Girone C · Italy · Stadio Ezio Scida

Crotone

LLDLL
0–1
FT

Giugliano

WLWLL

Crotone vs Giugliano prediction & analysis

79%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCrotone to win ✗60% · @1.65
Double chanceCrotone or draw ✗80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Win chances

Crotone60%fair 1.67 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.60
Giugliano20%fair 5.09 · @4.33
3.02Expected goals
1.99Crotone xG
1.04Giugliano xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Crotone 2.0 – 1.0 Giugliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Crotone hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 20% for Giugliano.

Crotone have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. Giugliano have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded. Giugliano come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 for Crotone, 1.0 for Giugliano). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Crotone have won 0, Giugliano have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.27.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCrotone to win ✗60%1.671.65
Double chanceCrotone or draw ✗80%1.241.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.271.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.40
Half-time resultCrotone ahead at half-time ✗44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Crotone / FT Crotone ✗38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Form

Crotone – last 6

LLDLLW
1 Nov@ Potenza2–4L
26 Octvs Casarano0–1L
18 Oct@ Bari0–0D
10 Octvs Audace Cerignola2–3L
3 Oct@ Catania1–2L
26 Sepvs Salernitana2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Giugliano – last 6

WLWLLW
31 Octvs Casertana1–0W
25 Oct@ Catania0–6L
19 Octvs Foggia3–1W
13 Octvs Inter U230–4L
10 Oct@ Bari0–2L
3 Octvs Barletta1–0W
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026Giugliano v Crotone1–0

More Serie C Girone C predictions

FT Casertana1 Casarano0 612019 1XCasertana or draw 81%@1.22 ✓ FT Inter U231 Salernitana0 412336 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✗ FT Scafatese4 Audace Cerignola1 382339 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Crotone vs Giugliano?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Crotone vs Giugliano?

On our numbers Crotone have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Giugliano 20%.

How many goals will there be in Crotone vs Giugliano?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

When is Crotone vs Giugliano?

Crotone vs Giugliano (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ezio Scida.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.