Serie C Girone C · Italy · Stadio Angelo Massimino

Catania

LWLWW

2–0

Sorrento

LLDDL

Catania vs Sorrento prediction & analysis

73%

Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCatania to win ✓60% · @1.55

Double chanceCatania or draw ✓82% · @1.10

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.94

Win chances

Catania60%fair 1.66 · @1.55

Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50

Sorrento18%fair 5.48 · @5.25

2.66Expected goals

1.80Catania xG

0.86Sorrento xG

53%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–013%

2–011%

1–111%

2–110%

0–07%

3–07%

From our goals model: Catania 1.8 – 0.9 Sorrento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Catania are clear favourites at home with a 60% chance of winning, against 18% for Sorrento.

Catania have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Sorrento have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. Catania come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.7 goals (1.8 for Catania, 0.9 for Sorrento). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.36.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Catania to win ✓	60%	1.66	1.55
Double chance	Catania or draw ✓	82%	1.22	1.10
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	53%	1.89	2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	73%	1.36	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.94	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	72%	1.38	1.30
Half-time result	Catania ahead at half-time ✓	43%	2.35	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Catania / FT Catania ✓	37%	2.68	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	13%	7.94	–

Form

Catania – last 6

LWLWWW

31 Oct	@ Audace Cerignola	0–1	L
25 Oct	vs Giugliano	6–0	W
17 Oct	@ Potenza	1–2	L
11 Oct	@ Team Altamura	3–0	W
3 Oct	vs Crotone	2–1	W
27 Sep	@ Casertana	2–1	W

2.3Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Sorrento – last 6

LLDDLW

31 Oct	vs Team Altamura	1–2	L
27 Oct	@ Savoia	0–2	L
24 Oct	@ Inter U23	1–1	D
18 Oct	vs Casertana	0–0	D
11 Oct	@ Scafatese	2–3	L
3 Oct	vs Casarano	2–0	W

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Catania and Sorrento.

More Serie C Girone C predictions

SS Monopoli0

Cosenza0 632413 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓ FT

Savoia1

Potenza3 231660 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Catania vs Sorrento?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Catania vs Sorrento?

On our numbers Catania have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sorrento 18%.

How many goals will there be in Catania vs Sorrento?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

When is Catania vs Sorrento?

Catania vs Sorrento (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Angelo Massimino.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.