Serie C Girone B · Italy · Stadio Comunale

Pianese

DDDDW

3–2

Perugia

DLWLW

Pianese vs Perugia prediction & analysis

76%

Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating

1.28Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultPianese to win ✓39% · @2.70

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.83

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.73

Win chances

Pianese39%fair 2.57 · @2.70

Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10

Perugia37%fair 2.72 · @2.40

2.34Expected goals

1.19Pianese xG

1.15Perugia xG

50%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%

1–011%

0–111%

0–010%

2–18%

1–28%

From our goals model: Pianese 1.2 – 1.1 Perugia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Pianese and Perugia on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Pianese have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Perugia have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 for Pianese, 1.1 for Perugia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (11%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.31.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Pianese to win ✓	39%	2.57	2.70 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	50%	1.99	1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.44	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.78	1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	76%	1.31	1.28
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Pianese / FT Pianese ✓	21%	4.75	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	11%	8.73	–

Form

Pianese – last 6

DDDDWL

1 Nov	@ Latina	1–1	D
25 Oct	@ Forli	0–0	D
17 Oct	vs Pineto	0–0	D
10 Oct	@ Ostia Mare	0–0	D
4 Oct	vs Ravenna	2–1	W
26 Sep	@ Livorno	2–3	L

0.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Perugia – last 6

DLWLWW

31 Oct	@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937	1–1	D
23 Oct	vs Pescara	1–2	L
18 Oct	@ Campobasso FC	5–1	W
11 Oct	vs Vado	0–2	L
3 Oct	@ Gubbio	3–1	W
27 Sep	vs Reggiana	1–0	W

1.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Pianese and Perugia.

More Serie C Girone B predictions

Grosseto1

Pescara3 322047 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✗ FT

Torres2

Latina0 392437 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.36 ✓ FT

Campobasso FC1

Livorno1 382438 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓ FT

Sambenedettese1

Guidonia Montecelio 19372 382438 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pianese vs Perugia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Pianese vs Perugia?

On our numbers Pianese have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Perugia 37%.

How many goals will there be in Pianese vs Perugia?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

When is Pianese vs Perugia?

Pianese vs Perugia (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.