Serie C Girone B · Italy

Ostia Mare

LLLDD
0–4
FT

Spezia

WWDWW

Ostia Mare vs Spezia prediction & analysis

71%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSpezia to win ✓62% · @1.50
Double chanceSpezia or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.88

Win chances

Ostia Mare13%fair 7.53 · @5.25
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.80
Spezia62%fair 1.61 · @1.50
2.52Expected goals
0.72Ostia Mare xG
1.80Spezia xG
45%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–115%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%

From our goals model: Ostia Mare 0.7 – 1.8 Spezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Spezia travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 13% for Ostia Mare.

Ostia Mare have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Spezia have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. Spezia come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.5 goals (0.7 for Ostia Mare, 1.8 for Spezia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 45%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (10%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.41.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpezia to win ✓62%1.611.50
Double chanceSpezia or draw ✓87%1.151.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.831.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.991.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.411.40
Half-time resultSpezia ahead at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spezia / FT Spezia ✓40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.88–

Form

Ostia Mare – last 6

LLLDDD
1 Nov@ Livorno0–1L
23 Octvs Vado1–2L
18 Oct@ Pescara0–2L
10 Octvs Pianese0–0D
4 Oct@ Latina1–1D
27 Sepvs Forli1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Spezia – last 6

WWDWWW
1 Novvs Atalanta II2–1W
28 Octvs Livorno2–1W
24 Octvs Latina1–1D
18 Oct@ Ravenna1–0W
10 Octvs Gubbio2–0W
4 Oct@ Reggiana1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ostia Mare and Spezia.

More Serie C Girone B predictions

FT Atalanta II4 Reggiana3 362341 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓ FT Forli1 Gubbio0 602218 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓ FT Vado1 Ravenna3 112465 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ostia Mare vs Spezia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Ostia Mare vs Spezia?

On our numbers Ostia Mare have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Spezia 62%.

How many goals will there be in Ostia Mare vs Spezia?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

When is Ostia Mare vs Spezia?

Ostia Mare vs Spezia (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.