Serie C Girone A · Italy · Mino FaviniRenate vs Treviso prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Treviso to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Renate 1.1 – 1.2 Treviso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Treviso shade it despite being away from home – 41% to win, against 33% for Renate.
Renate have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 per game. Treviso have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. Treviso come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.1 for Renate, 1.2 for Treviso). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is close to our fair price of 1.84. For a bigger price, Treviso to win at 2.90 is our value angle (41% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Treviso to win ✓ | 41% | 2.44 | 2.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Treviso / FT Treviso ✗ | 23% | 4.39 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 12% | 8.28 | – |
Form
Renate – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Arzignano Valchiampo | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Sep | vs Dolomiti Bellunesi | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ Lumezzane | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Sep | vs Novara | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Sep | @ Cittadella | 1–4 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Cittadella | 0–1 | L |
Treviso – last 6
| 21 Sep | vs Desenzano Calvina | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Sep | @ Union Brescia | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs PRO Vercelli | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Sep | @ Alcione | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Lecco | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Trento | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Renate and Treviso.
Serie C Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 13 | +13 | 31 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 13 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  Trento | 13 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ospitaletto | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 |  Treviso | 13 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 13 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Lecco | 13 | +11 | 20 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 |  Albinoleffe | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Pergolettese | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Lumezzane | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  PRO Vercelli | 13 | -7 | 16 |
| 13 |  Desenzano Calvina | 13 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Novara | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 |  Athletic Carpi | 13 | -10 | 13 |
| 16 |  Giana Erminio | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |  Renate | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 13 | -11 | 11 |
| 19 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 |  Folgore Caratese | 13 | -10 | 8 |
More Serie C Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Renate vs Treviso?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Renate vs Treviso?
On our numbers Renate have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Treviso 41%.
How many goals will there be in Renate vs Treviso?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Renate vs Treviso?
Renate vs Treviso (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Mino Favini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.