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FA WSL · England · Bescot Stadium
Sun 15 Nov 2026

Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W prediction & analysis

67%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAston Villa W to win45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.12

Win chances

Aston Villa W45%fair 2.20 · @2.15
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.40
Birmingham City W34%fair 2.93 · @2.70
3.17Expected goals
1.72Aston Villa W xG
1.45Birmingham City W xG
67%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%

From our goals model: Aston Villa W 1.7 – 1.5 Birmingham City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Aston Villa W hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 34% for Birmingham City W.

Aston Villa W have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.0 per game. Birmingham City W have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.

We expect around 3.2 goals (1.7 for Aston Villa W, 1.5 for Birmingham City W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, Aston Villa W have won 0, Birmingham City W have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.50.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAston Villa W to win45%2.202.15
Double chanceEither team to win80%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score67%1.501.44
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals81%1.231.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals61%1.641.52
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals60%1.651.51
Half-time resultLevel at half-time38%2.61–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aston Villa W / FT Aston Villa W27%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.12–

Form

Aston Villa W – last 6

LDDWWW
7 Novvs Manchester United W0–1L
1 Nov@ Arsenal W1–1D
28 Octvs Birmingham City W1–1D
25 Oct@ Everton W3–2W
21 Oct@ Burnley W2–0W
18 Octvs Liverpool W2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Birmingham City W – last 6

LLDWWD
7 Nov@ London City Lionesses W1–4L
1 Novvs Tottenham Hotspur W1–4L
28 Oct@ Aston Villa W1–1D
25 Octvs Charlton Athletic W1–0W
21 Oct@ Durham W5–0W
17 Oct@ Arsenal W1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Oct 2026Aston Villa W v Birmingham City W1–1

FA WSL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City W9810+1725
2Chelsea W9720+2323
3London City Lionesses W9612+1319
4Tottenham Hotspur W9513+716
5Manchester United W9432-115
6Arsenal W9342013
7Brighton W9324+311
8Everton W9324-211
9Aston Villa W9243-610
10Crystal Palace W9234-99
11West Ham W9306-109
12Liverpool W9225-28
13Birmingham City W9135-106
14Charlton Athletic W9009-230

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W?

On our numbers Aston Villa W have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Birmingham City W 34%.

How many goals will there be in Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

When is Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W?

Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W (FA WSL) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Bescot Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.