Ligue 1 · Tunisia · Stade Olympique de Sousse
ES Sahel
CS Sfaxien
ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓
Value bet: CS Sfaxien to win @ 2.97 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: ES Sahel 0.9 – 1.0 CS Sfaxien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates ES Sahel and CS Sfaxien on our numbers – 34% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 27% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
ES Sahel have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. CS Sfaxien have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (0.9 for ES Sahel, 1.0 for CS Sfaxien). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (14%).
In their last 1 meeting, ES Sahel have won 0, CS Sfaxien have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.27 is close to our fair price of 1.43. For a bigger price, CS Sfaxien to win at 2.97 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | CS Sfaxien to win ✗ | 38% | 2.61 | 2.97 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.45 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.71 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.27 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.04 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✓ | 22% | 4.53 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 7.02 | – |
Form
ES Sahel – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Olympique Béja | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs CS Hammam-Lif | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ AS Marsa | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs ES Metlaoui | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ ES Tunis | 2–3 | L |
CS Sfaxien – last 6
| 29 Oct | vs ES Tunis | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs AFAD | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ AFAD | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs CA Bizertin | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ US Ben Guerdane | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 14 May 2026 | CS Sfaxien v ES Sahel | 3–1 |
More Ligue 1 predictions
ES Tunis1
US Monastirienne0
1ES Tunis to win
70%@1.43
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?
On our numbers ES Sahel have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CS Sfaxien 38%.
How many goals will there be in ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?
ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique de Sousse.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.