Premier League · Hong-Kong · Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground
Warriors
Southern District
Warriors vs Southern District prediction & analysis
Warriors to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.37 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Warriors 2.6 – 0.9 Southern District expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Warriors are clear favourites at home with a 71% chance of winning, against 9% for Southern District.
Warriors have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Southern District have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.5 conceded. Warriors come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.6 goals (2.6 for Warriors, 0.9 for Southern District). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 3–0 (8%).
Our pick is Warriors to win at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.37 is close to our fair price of 1.40.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Warriors to win ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.37 |
| Double chance | Warriors or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.52 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 86% | 1.17 | 1.08 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.35 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.75 |
| Half-time result | Warriors ahead at half-time ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Warriors / FT Warriors ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.39 | – |
Form
Warriors – last 6
| 25 Oct | @ BC Rangers | 4–2 | W |
| 19 Oct | vs Kitchee | 1–5 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ BC Rangers | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Shatin | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Eastern District | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Hong Kong FC | 3–0 | W |
Southern District – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Eastern | 3–5 | L |
| 19 Oct | @ Wofoo Tai Po | 2–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Eastern District | 3–0 | W |
| 1 Oct | @ North District | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Eastern District | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Kitchee | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Warriors and Southern District.
More Premier League predictions
Shatin1
BC Rangers1
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
66%@1.41
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Warriors vs Southern District?
Our pick is Warriors to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Warriors vs Southern District?
On our numbers Warriors have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Southern District 9%.
How many goals will there be in Warriors vs Southern District?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Warriors vs Southern District?
Warriors vs Southern District (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.