III Liga Group 3 · PolandRakow II vs Kluczbork prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓
Value bet: Kluczbork to win @ 2.56 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Rakow II 1.4 – 1.6 Kluczbork expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Rakow II and Kluczbork on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 42% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Rakow II have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 per game. Kluczbork have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.4 for Rakow II, 1.6 for Kluczbork). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Rakow II have won 0, Kluczbork have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.43 is close to our fair price of 1.56. For a bigger price, Kluczbork to win at 2.56 is our value angle (42% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Kluczbork to win ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | 2.56 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.48 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 80% | 1.26 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.74 | 1.58 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.43 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.51 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Kluczbork / FT Kluczbork ✗ | 24% | 4.12 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.39 | – |
Form
Rakow II – last 6
| 30 Oct | vs ROW Rybnik | 1–3 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Warta Gorzów | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Oct | @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Miedź Legnica II | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | @ Polonia Nysa | 2–0 | W |
Kluczbork – last 6
| 30 Oct | vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Warta Gorzów | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Miedź Legnica II | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Polonia Nysa | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Sparta Katowice | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 25 Jul 2026 | Kluczbork v Rakow II | 3–1 |
III Liga Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 16 | +16 | 37 |
| 2 |  Sparta Katowice | 16 | +21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Odra Bytom Odrzański | 16 | +6 | 31 |
| 4 |  Zagłębie Lubin II | 16 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 |  ROW Rybnik | 16 | +8 | 26 |
| 6 |  Miedź Legnica II | 16 | +8 | 23 |
| 7 |  Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 16 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 |  Kluczbork | 16 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Górnik Polkowice | 16 | +1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Barycz Sułów | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  Goczałkowice Zdrój | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Stal Brzeg | 16 | +5 | 19 |
| 13 |  Stilon Gorzów | 16 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 |  Carina Gubin | 16 | -13 | 16 |
| 15 |  Ślęza Wrocław | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 |  Warta Gorzów | 16 | -19 | 14 |
| 17 |  Rakow II | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |  Polonia Nysa | 15 | -14 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rakow II vs Kluczbork?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Rakow II vs Kluczbork?
On our numbers Rakow II have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kluczbork 42%.
How many goals will there be in Rakow II vs Kluczbork?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Rakow II vs Kluczbork?
Rakow II vs Kluczbork (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.