1. Division · Cyprus · GSP Stadium

Apoel Nicosia

WWWDW
3–1
FT

Aris

WWDWW

Apoel Nicosia vs Aris prediction & analysis

78%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultApoel Nicosia to win ✓47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.88

Win chances

Apoel Nicosia47%fair 2.15 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Aris33%fair 3.06 · @3.00
2.96Expected goals
1.64Apoel Nicosia xG
1.32Aris xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Apoel Nicosia 1.6 – 1.3 Aris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Apoel Nicosia hold the edge on home soil with a 47% chance of winning, against 33% for Aris.

Apoel Nicosia have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Aris have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 3.0 goals (1.6 for Apoel Nicosia, 1.3 for Aris). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).

In their last 3 meetings, Apoel Nicosia have won 2, Aris have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.28.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultApoel Nicosia to win ✓47%2.152.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.521.40
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Apoel Nicosia / FT Apoel Nicosia ✓27%3.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.88–

Form

Apoel Nicosia – last 6

WWWDWD
1 Nov@ Omonia Aradippou2–1W
28 Octvs Halkanoras5–2W
25 Octvs Omonia 29is Maiou4–1W
19 Oct@ Pafos0–0D
10 Octvs Nea Salamis2–1W
19 Sep@ Apollon Limassol2–2D
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Aris – last 6

WWDWWL
1 Novvs Anorthosis2–1W
25 Oct@ AEL3–1W
18 Octvs AEK Larnaca1–1D
14 Octvs Ethnikos Achna4–0W
11 Oct@ Olympiakos2–1W
3 Octvs Riga1–2L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 May 2026Aris v Apoel Nicosia1–0
5 Apr 2026Apoel Nicosia v Aris2–1
15 Mar 2026Aris v Apoel Nicosia1–2

More 1. Division predictions

FT Anorthosis0 Omonia Nicosia2 172261 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓ FT Pafos4 Omonia 29is Maiou2 692011 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 60%@1.73 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Apoel Nicosia vs Aris?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Apoel Nicosia vs Aris?

On our numbers Apoel Nicosia have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aris 33%.

How many goals will there be in Apoel Nicosia vs Aris?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

When is Apoel Nicosia vs Aris?

Apoel Nicosia vs Aris (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at GSP Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.