Thai League 2 · Thailand · Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium
Nakhon Pathom
Mahasarakham United
Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
Value bet: Nakhon Pathom to win @ 2.47 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Nakhon Pathom 1.3 – 1.1 Mahasarakham United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Nakhon Pathom hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 34% for Mahasarakham United.
Nakhon Pathom have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.7 per game. Mahasarakham United have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.3 for Nakhon Pathom, 1.1 for Mahasarakham United). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Nakhon Pathom have won 1, Mahasarakham United have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.49. For a bigger price, Nakhon Pathom to win at 2.47 is our value angle (43% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Nakhon Pathom to win ✓ | 43% | 2.30 | 2.47 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.71 | 1.59 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.18 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Nakhon Pathom / FT Nakhon Pathom ✗ | 23% | 4.27 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.12 | – |
Form
Nakhon Pathom – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Satun | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Uttaradit | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | @ Uthai Thani | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Nong Bua Pitchaya | 4–3 | W |
| 14 Oct | @ Chanthaburi | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Muangthong United | 1–0 | W |
Mahasarakham United – last 6
| 30 Oct | vs Chanthaburi | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Nong Bua Pitchaya | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Oct | @ Huasamrong Gateway | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Muangthong United | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Oct | @ Kasetsart FC | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Uttaradit | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
| 4 Apr 2026 | Mahasarakham United v Nakhon Pathom | 0–2 |
More Thai League 2 predictions
Satun1
Chiangmai United1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
69%@1.35
✓
FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya2
Chainat2
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
64%@1.47
✓
FT
Kasetsart FC0
Muang Loei United1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
66%@1.35
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United?
On our numbers Nakhon Pathom have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mahasarakham United 34%.
How many goals will there be in Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United?
Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.