Serie B · Italy · Stadio dei Marmi

Carrarese

LWLWW
0–1
FT

Sampdoria

WLDLL

Carrarese vs Sampdoria prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: Carrarese to win @ 2.30 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultCarrarese to win ✗46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.83

Win chances

Carrarese46%fair 2.15 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Sampdoria31%fair 3.20 · @3.10
2.53Expected goals
1.43Carrarese xG
1.11Sampdoria xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Carrarese 1.4 – 1.1 Sampdoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Carrarese hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 31% for Sampdoria.

Carrarese have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Sampdoria have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.4 for Carrarese, 1.1 for Sampdoria). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Carrarese have won 1, Sampdoria have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Carrarese to win at 2.30 is our value angle (46% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCarrarese to win ✗46%2.152.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.36 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.75
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.381.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.30
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Carrarese / FT Carrarese ✗26%3.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%8.83–

Form

Carrarese – last 6

LWLWWL
1 Nov@ Hellas Verona0–3L
28 Octvs Arezzo2–1W
25 Oct@ Palermo1–2L
17 Octvs Modena2–1W
11 Oct@ Padova2–0W
19 Sepvs Benevento0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sampdoria – last 6

WLDLLW
31 Octvs Virtus Entella2–0W
27 Oct@ Ascoli0–2L
24 Oct@ Sudtirol1–1D
18 Octvs Arezzo1–2L
9 Oct@ Avellino1–4L
19 Sepvs Catanzaro2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Mar 2026Carrarese v Sampdoria2–0

More Serie B predictions

FT Virtus Entella0 Modena2 312247 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓ FT Vicenza Virtus1 Cremonese4 352441 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

On our numbers Carrarese have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sampdoria 31%.

How many goals will there be in Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

When is Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

Carrarese vs Sampdoria (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio dei Marmi.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.