Serie A Women · Italy · Campo Mirko Fersini

Lazio W

LDLLD
0–0
FT

Napoli W

LDWLL

Lazio W vs Napoli W prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNapoli W to win ✗40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.44

Win chances

Lazio W37%fair 2.70 · @2.35
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Napoli W40%fair 2.50 · @2.60
2.49Expected goals
1.21Lazio W xG
1.27Napoli W xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Lazio W 1.2 – 1.3 Napoli W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Lazio W and Napoli W on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Lazio W have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Napoli W have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. Napoli W come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.2 for Lazio W, 1.3 for Napoli W). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Lazio W have won 1, Napoli W have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 6.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.36.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNapoli W to win ✗40%2.502.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.391.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.33
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Napoli W / FT Napoli W ✗22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%9.44–

Form

Lazio W – last 6

LDLLDL
1 Nov@ Inter Milano W0–3L
25 Octvs Como W0–0D
17 Oct@ Ternana W0–1L
3 Oct@ Roma W1–3L
26 Sepvs Parma W0–0D
6 Sep@ Inter Milano W1–3L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Napoli W – last 6

LDWLLW
1 Nov@ Roma W1–2L
24 Octvs Inter Milano W0–0D
17 Oct@ Sassuolo W4–1W
4 Octvs Como 1907 W1–2L
26 Sep@ Juventus W1–3L
6 Sepvs Parma W1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Aug 2026Lazio W v Napoli W4–2

More Serie A Women predictions

FT Parma W1 Como W0 342244 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.28 ✓ FT Ternana W0 Fiorentina W4 112465 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lazio W vs Napoli W?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Lazio W vs Napoli W?

On our numbers Lazio W have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Napoli W 40%.

How many goals will there be in Lazio W vs Napoli W?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

When is Lazio W vs Napoli W?

Lazio W vs Napoli W (Serie A Women) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Mirko Fersini.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.