Primera Division · El-Salvador
Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.24
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Fuerte San Francisco 1.0 – 1.7 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Alianza shade it despite being away from home – 57% to win, against 23% for Fuerte San Francisco.
Fuerte San Francisco have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.2 per game. Alianza have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.0 for Fuerte San Francisco, 1.7 for Alianza). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (12%), 1–1 (11%), 0–2 (10%).
In their last 3 meetings, Fuerte San Francisco have won 0, Alianza have won 2 and 1 ended level, with an average of 3.3 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.24 is close to our fair price of 1.35.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alianza to win | 57% | 1.76 | 1.79 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 80% | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 57% | 1.77 | 1.74 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | 1.24 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 | 1.84 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alianza / FT Alianza | 34% | 2.94 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 12% | 8.54 | – |
Form
Fuerte San Francisco – last 6
| 9 Nov | @ FAS | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Nov | @ Municipal Limeño | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Nov | vs Águila | 3–4 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Atletico Balboa | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Isidro Metapán | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Cacahuatique | 2–1 | W |
Alianza – last 6
| 8 Nov | vs Águila | 3–2 | W |
| 5 Nov | @ Firpo | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Nov | @ Atletico Balboa | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Oct | vs CD Marathon | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Isidro Metapán | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | @ CD Marathon | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 24 Sep 2026 | Alianza v Fuerte San Francisco | 2–2 |
| 1 May 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco v Alianza | 0–1 |
| 8 Mar 2026 | Alianza v Fuerte San Francisco | 3–2 |
More Primera Division predictions
Isidro Metapán
Platense
1Isidro Metapán to win
68%@1.59
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?
On our numbers Fuerte San Francisco have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Alianza 57%.
How many goals will there be in Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?
Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza (Primera Division) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.