Primera Division · El-Salvador

Alianza

LLDWL
3–2
FT

Águila

WWDWW

Alianza vs Águila prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.58 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.58Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultÁguila to win ✗46% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.58
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.96

Win chances

Alianza33%fair 3.01 · @2.83
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.36
Águila46%fair 2.17 · @2.18
2.87Expected goals
1.29Alianza xG
1.58Águila xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Alianza 1.3 – 1.6 Águila expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Águila shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 33% for Alianza.

Alianza have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Águila have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 3.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. Águila come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.9 goals (1.3 for Alianza, 1.6 for Águila). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%).

In their last 5 meetings, Alianza have won 1, Águila have won 3 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.58 is close to our fair price of 1.60.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultÁguila to win ✗46%2.172.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.601.58
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.19
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.481.33
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Águila / FT Águila ✗26%3.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.96–

Form

Alianza – last 6

LLDWLD
5 Nov@ Firpo0–2L
1 Nov@ Atletico Balboa0–1L
28 Octvs CD Marathon0–0D
25 Octvs Isidro Metapán1–0W
21 Oct@ CD Marathon1–2L
17 Oct@ Cacahuatique0–0D
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Águila – last 6

WWDWWW
1 Nov@ Fuerte San Francisco4–3W
25 Octvs FAS3–1W
18 Oct@ Atletico Balboa2–2D
11 Octvs Isidro Metapán3–0W
3 Octvs Cacahuatique4–1W
30 Sepvs Inter2–1W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Sep 2026Águila v Alianza2–2
10 May 2026Alianza v Águila0–2
6 May 2026Águila v Alianza2–1
16 Apr 2026Alianza v Águila0–2
19 Feb 2026Águila v Alianza0–3

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza vs Águila?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.58.

Who will win Alianza vs Águila?

On our numbers Alianza have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Águila 46%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Águila?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

When is Alianza vs Águila?

Alianza vs Águila (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.