Primera Division · El-Salvador

Inca Aruba

LLLLD
1–1
FT

Isidro Metapán

DLDWL

Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.26Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultIsidro Metapán to win ✗60% · @1.62
Double chanceIsidro Metapán or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.11

Win chances

Inca Aruba16%fair 6.37 · @4.88
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.50
Isidro Metapán60%fair 1.68 · @1.62
2.51Expected goals
0.78Inca Aruba xG
1.74Isidro Metapán xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%

From our goals model: Inca Aruba 0.8 – 1.7 Isidro Metapán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Isidro Metapán shade it despite being away from home – 60% to win, against 16% for Inca Aruba.

Inca Aruba have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.8 per game. Isidro Metapán have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded. Isidro Metapán come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.5 goals (0.8 for Inca Aruba, 1.7 for Isidro Metapán). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (11%).

In their last 1 meeting, Inca Aruba have won 1, Isidro Metapán have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.26 is close to our fair price of 1.36.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIsidro Metapán to win ✗60%1.681.62
Double chanceIsidro Metapán or draw ✓84%1.191.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.821.88
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.76
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.26
Half-time resultIsidro Metapán ahead at half-time ✓42%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Isidro Metapán / FT Isidro Metapán ✗38%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.11–

Form

Inca Aruba – last 6

LLLLDW
31 Oct@ Cacahuatique0–1L
24 Octvs Inter0–2L
16 Oct@ Firpo0–2L
10 Octvs Platense1–4L
5 Oct@ FAS1–1D
2 Octvs Municipal Limeño2–1W
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Isidro Metapán – last 6

DLDWLW
1 Novvs Municipal Limeño1–1D
25 Oct@ Alianza0–1L
22 Oct@ FAS0–0D
18 Octvs Fuerte San Francisco3–2W
11 Oct@ Águila0–3L
4 Octvs Atletico Balboa3–2W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Sep 2026Isidro Metapán v Inca Aruba0–1

More Primera Division predictions

FT Platense0 Cacahuatique2 492230 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.23 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán?

On our numbers Inca Aruba have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Isidro Metapán 60%.

How many goals will there be in Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

When is Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán?

Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán (Primera Division) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.