Thai League 1 · Thailand · True BG Stadium
BG Pathum United
Rayong FC
BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC prediction & analysis
BG Pathum United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.46 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: BG Pathum United 2.1 – 0.8 Rayong FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
BG Pathum United are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 11% for Rayong FC.
BG Pathum United have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.7 per game. Rayong FC have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded. BG Pathum United come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.1 for BG Pathum United, 0.8 for Rayong FC). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is BG Pathum United to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.46 is close to our fair price of 1.50.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | BG Pathum United to win ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.46 |
| Double chance | BG Pathum United or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.69 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.15 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.61 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.41 |
| Half-time result | BG Pathum United ahead at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.03 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT BG Pathum United / FT BG Pathum United ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.26 | – |
Form
BG Pathum United – last 6
| 5 Nov | vs Wofoo Tai Po | 4–1 | W |
| 2 Nov | @ Chonburi FC | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | @ Wofoo Tai Po | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Chiangrai United | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | @ Khon Kaen United | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Sisaket United | 1–1 | D |
Rayong FC – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Lamphun Warrior | 0–4 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Port FC | 1–4 | L |
| 21 Oct | @ Thap Luang United | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Uthai Thani | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Buriram United | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Ratchaburi | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BG Pathum United and Rayong FC.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC?
Our pick is BG Pathum United to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC?
On our numbers BG Pathum United have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rayong FC 11%.
How many goals will there be in BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC?
BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at True BG Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.