Non League Premier Northern · England

Leek Town

LLLWW
3–2
FT

Ilkeston Town

WWLLL

Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.52 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.52Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLeek Town to win ✓58% · @1.68
Double chanceLeek Town or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20

Win chances

Leek Town58%fair 1.72 · @1.68
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.85
Ilkeston Town18%fair 5.45 · @3.74
3.29Expected goals
2.13Leek Town xG
1.16Ilkeston Town xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Leek Town 2.1 – 1.2 Ilkeston Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Leek Town hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 18% for Ilkeston Town.

Leek Town have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 2.5 per game. Ilkeston Town have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.

We expect around 3.3 goals (2.1 for Leek Town, 1.2 for Ilkeston Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%).

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.52 is close to our fair price of 1.61.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeek Town to win ✓58%1.721.68
Double chanceLeek Town or draw ✓82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.52
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.211.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.621.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.671.47
Half-time resultLeek Town ahead at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leek Town / FT Leek Town ✗38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.20–

Form

Leek Town – last 6

LLLWWD
3 Nov@ Guiseley AFC1–4L
31 Oct@ Curzon Ashton1–2L
27 Oct@ Bury3–5L
24 Octvs Bootle4–1W
17 Oct@ Lancaster City2–1W
10 Octvs Ashton United2–2D
2.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Ilkeston Town – last 6

WWLLLL
31 Octvs Hyde United1–0W
17 Octvs Avro2–0W
13 Oct@ Gainsborough Trinity1–3L
10 Octvs Redcar Athletic0–5L
6 Octvs Guiseley AFC0–2L
3 Oct@ Lancaster City1–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Leek Town and Ilkeston Town.

More Non League Premier Northern predictions

FT Avro0 Warrington Town3 582022 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓ FT Bamber Bridge0 Bury1 171964 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.37 ✗ FT AFC Emley2 Whitby Town1 611523 1AFC Emley to win 61%@1.78 ✓ FT Hyde United4 Redcar Athletic2 182062 2Redcar Athletic to win 62%@1.63 ✗ FT Lancaster City0 Cleethorpes Town2 282151 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.23 ✓ FT Stockton Town0 Curzon Ashton1 372241 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.41 ✓ FT Rylands3 Gainsborough Trinity1 392139 GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.51 ✓ FT Workington0 Ashton United1 461935 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.47 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.

Who will win Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town?

On our numbers Leek Town have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ilkeston Town 18%.

How many goals will there be in Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

When is Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town?

Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.