Non League Premier Northern · England

Workington

LWWWL
Tue 10 Nov 2026

Alfreton Town

LWWDD

Workington vs Alfreton Town prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultWorkington to win40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.74

Win chances

Workington40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.46
Alfreton Town38%fair 2.64 · @2.51
3.00Expected goals
1.52Workington xG
1.48Alfreton Town xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Workington 1.5 – 1.5 Alfreton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Workington and Alfreton Town on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Workington have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Alfreton Town have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.

We expect around 3.0 goals (1.5 for Workington, 1.5 for Alfreton Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.48 is close to our fair price of 1.53.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWorkington to win40%2.512.30
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.291.21
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score65%1.531.48
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals79%1.261.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.721.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals63%1.581.48
Half-time resultLevel at half-time40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Workington / FT Workington23%4.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.74–

Form

Workington – last 6

LWWWLL
7 Novvs Ashton United0–1L
31 Oct@ Bury2–1W
24 Octvs Cleethorpes Town3–2W
17 Oct@ Bamber Bridge2–1W
13 Octvs Whitby Town1–2L
10 Oct@ Quorn0–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Alfreton Town – last 6

LWWDDL
6 Nov@ Quorn0–4L
31 Octvs AFC Emley2–1W
24 Oct@ Mickleover Sports2–1W
17 Octvs Warrington Town1–1D
13 Oct@ Ashton United0–0D
10 Octvs Bury2–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Workington and Alfreton Town.

More Non League Premier Northern predictions

Bury Cleethorpes Town 602020 1Bury to win 60%@1.85 Rylands Guiseley AFC 342045 GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.55 Curzon Ashton Ilkeston Town 701713 1Curzon Ashton to win 70%@1.30 Quorn Stockton Town 382239 GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.47 Redcar Athletic Bamber Bridge 701910 1Redcar Athletic to win 70%@1.28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Workington vs Alfreton Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Workington vs Alfreton Town?

On our numbers Workington have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alfreton Town 38%.

How many goals will there be in Workington vs Alfreton Town?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

When is Workington vs Alfreton Town?

Workington vs Alfreton Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.