Super League 1 · Greece · Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium

Asteras Tripolis

LLDLW
1–1
FT

Kalamata

DWLWW

Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: Kalamata to win @ 3.90 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultAsteras Tripolis to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09

Win chances

Asteras Tripolis44%fair 2.26 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Kalamata33%fair 2.99 · @3.90
2.87Expected goals
1.56Asteras Tripolis xG
1.31Kalamata xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Asteras Tripolis 1.6 – 1.3 Kalamata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Asteras Tripolis hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 33% for Kalamata.

Asteras Tripolis have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 per game. Kalamata have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded. Kalamata come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.9 goals (1.6 for Asteras Tripolis, 1.3 for Kalamata). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.32. For a bigger price, Kalamata to win at 3.90 is our value angle (33% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAsteras Tripolis to win ✗44%2.262.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.291.36 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.962.00
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.30
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Asteras Tripolis / FT Asteras Tripolis ✗26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.09–

Form

Asteras Tripolis – last 6

LLDLWD
1 Nov@ PAOK1–2L
27 Octvs Kifisia0–2L
24 Octvs Levadiakos0–0D
18 Oct@ Panathinaikos1–5L
10 Octvs Atromitos2–1W
20 Sep@ OFI2–2D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kalamata – last 6

DWLWWL
2 Novvs Iraklis 19081–1D
28 Oct@ Nestos Chrisoupolis2–0W
25 Oct@ Olympiakos Piraeus0–5L
18 Octvs OFI4–3W
12 Oct@ PAOK3–1W
20 Sepvs Panathinaikos0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Asteras Tripolis and Kalamata.

More Super League 1 predictions

FT AEK Athens FC2 Levadiakos1 682012 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓ FT Iraklis 19081 Panathinaikos2 71974 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓ FT OFI0 Atromitos0 462133 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✗ FT Olympiakos Piraeus1 PAOK1 622117 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?

On our numbers Asteras Tripolis have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kalamata 33%.

How many goals will there be in Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

When is Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?

Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.