Liga MX U21 · Mexico
Toluca U21
Monterrey U21
Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21 prediction & analysis
Toluca U21 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Toluca U21 2.3 – 0.9 Monterrey U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Toluca U21 are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 12% for Monterrey U21.
Toluca U21 have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 3.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Monterrey U21 have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 2.5 scored and 2.2 conceded. Toluca U21 come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.3 for Toluca U21, 0.9 for Monterrey U21). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Toluca U21 to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.42 is close to our fair price of 1.49.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Toluca U21 to win ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.42 |
| Double chance | Toluca U21 or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.15 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.48 |
| Half-time result | Toluca U21 ahead at half-time | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Toluca U21 / FT Toluca U21 | 45% | 2.20 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.28 | – |
Form
Toluca U21 – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Club America U21 | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Club Leon U21 | 4–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Club Tijuana U21 | 5–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Atl. San Luis U21 | 4–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | @ Tigres UANL U21 | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Cruz Azul U21 | 3–2 | W |
Monterrey U21 – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Club Tijuana U21 | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 4–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | @ Puebla U21 | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Pachuca U21 | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Club America U21 | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | @ Atlante U21 | 4–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toluca U21 and Monterrey U21.
More Liga MX U21 predictions
Atlas U211
Pachuca U213
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
69%@1.37
✓
FT
UNAM Pumas U211
Club America U211
Pens 1–0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
69%@1.35
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21?
Our pick is Toluca U21 to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21?
On our numbers Toluca U21 have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Monterrey U21 12%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21?
Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.