2. Lig · Turkey · Mersin Stadyumu
Hatayspor
Somaspor
Hatayspor vs Somaspor prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
Value bet: Somaspor to win @ 2.83 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hatayspor 1.4 – 1.5 Somaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Hatayspor and Somaspor on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Hatayspor have taken 0 points from their last 6 matches (0W 0D 6L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 2.7 per game. Somaspor have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 0.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.4 for Hatayspor, 1.5 for Somaspor). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.38 is close to our fair price of 1.50. For a bigger price, Somaspor to win at 2.83 is our value angle (40% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Somaspor to win ✓ | 40% | 2.49 | 2.83 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.18 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Somaspor / FT Somaspor ✓ | 23% | 4.37 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.68 | – |
Form
Hatayspor – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Menemen FK | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Erbaaspor | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Şanlıurfaspor | 2–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Elazığspor | 0–3 | L |
| 7 Oct | vs Karaköprü Belediyespor | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Isparta 32 Spor | 0–1 | L |
Somaspor – last 6
| 4 Nov | vs Sebat Gençlikspor | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Nov | vs Çorluspor 1947 | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | @ Fatih Karagümrük | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Güzide Gebzespor | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Aliağa FAŞ | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Adana Demirspor | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hatayspor and Somaspor.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hatayspor vs Somaspor?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Hatayspor vs Somaspor?
On our numbers Hatayspor have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Somaspor 40%.
How many goals will there be in Hatayspor vs Somaspor?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Hatayspor vs Somaspor?
Hatayspor vs Somaspor (2. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Mersin Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.