Super Copa · Argentina · Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra
Estudiantes L.P.
Independ. Rivadavia
Estudiantes L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44
Value bet: Independ. Rivadavia to win @ 3.10 – our chance 46% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +42%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Estudiantes L.P. 1.0 – 1.2 Independ. Rivadavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Independ. Rivadavia shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 36% for Estudiantes L.P..
Estudiantes L.P. have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (0W 4D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Independ. Rivadavia have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.0 for Estudiantes L.P., 1.2 for Independ. Rivadavia). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.55. For a bigger price, Independ. Rivadavia to win at 3.10 is our value angle (46% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Independ. Rivadavia to win | 46% | 2.18 | 3.10 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 82% | 1.23 | 1.36 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 56% | 1.79 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 1.55 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Independ. Rivadavia / FT Independ. Rivadavia | 23% | 4.31 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 13% | 7.47 | – |
Form
Estudiantes L.P. – last 6
| 8 Nov | @ Talleres Cordoba | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Nov | vs Instituto Cordoba | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Oct | @ Union Santa Fe | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Oct | @ Flamengo | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs San Lorenzo | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs Flamengo | 0–0 | D |
Independ. Rivadavia – last 6
| 8 Nov | @ Gimnasia M. | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Nov | vs Banfield | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Oct | @ Argentinos JRS | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Tigre | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Rosario Central | 0–5 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Gimnasia L.P. | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes L.P. and Independ. Rivadavia.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
On our numbers Estudiantes L.P. have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Independ. Rivadavia 46%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
When is Estudiantes L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Estudiantes L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia (Super Copa) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.