EFL Trophy · England · Oakwell Ground
Barnsley
Oldham
Barnsley vs Oldham prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.44
Value bet: Barnsley to win @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Barnsley 2.5 – 1.5 Oldham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Barnsley hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 22% for Oldham.
Barnsley have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0 per game. Oldham have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. Oldham come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.0 goals (2.5 for Barnsley, 1.5 for Oldham). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (8%), 3–1 (7%), 1–1 (7%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.42. For a bigger price, Barnsley to win at 1.83 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Barnsley to win | 58% | 1.71 | 1.83 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 81% | 1.24 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 66% | 1.51 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 | 1.12 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | 2.00 |
| Half-time result | Barnsley ahead at half-time | 46% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Barnsley / FT Barnsley | 38% | 2.61 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 | 8% | 11.79 | – |
Form
Barnsley – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs Aldershot Town | 7–2 | W |
| 31 Oct | vs Oxford United | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Reading | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | @ Luton | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Cambridge United | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Stockport County | 1–3 | L |
Oldham – last 6
| 8 Nov | vs Sheffield Wednesday | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Nov | @ Northampton | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | vs Crawley Town | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Barnet | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | @ Walsall | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Cheltenham | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barnsley and Oldham.
More EFL Trophy predictions
Sheffield Wednesday
Accrington ST
1Sheffield Wednesday to win
65%@1.62
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Barnsley vs Oldham?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Barnsley vs Oldham?
On our numbers Barnsley have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Oldham 22%.
How many goals will there be in Barnsley vs Oldham?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
When is Barnsley vs Oldham?
Barnsley vs Oldham (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Oakwell Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.