National League South · England · Stonebridge Road Stadium

Ebbsfleet United

WLWWD
1–0
FT

Chesham United

DLLLD

Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultEbbsfleet United to win ✓70% · @1.30
Double chanceEbbsfleet United or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.20

Win chances

Ebbsfleet United70%fair 1.44 · @1.30
Draw16%fair 6.20 · @5.00
Chesham United14%fair 7.05 · @7.00
3.39Expected goals
2.41Ebbsfleet United xG
0.98Chesham United xG
59%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%

From our goals model: Ebbsfleet United 2.4 – 1.0 Chesham United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Ebbsfleet United are clear favourites at home with a 70% chance of winning, against 14% for Chesham United.

Ebbsfleet United have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 3.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Chesham United have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 3.0 conceded. Ebbsfleet United come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.4 goals (2.4 for Ebbsfleet United, 1.0 for Chesham United). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, Ebbsfleet United have won 0, Chesham United have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.51.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEbbsfleet United to win ✓70%1.441.30
Double chanceEbbsfleet United or draw ✓86%1.171.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85%1.181.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.511.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.821.73
Half-time resultEbbsfleet United ahead at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United ✗46%2.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10%10.20–

Form

Ebbsfleet United – last 6

WLWWDW
3 Nov@ Farnborough6–0W
31 Oct@ Truro City0–3L
27 Oct@ Maidstone Utd3–1W
24 Octvs Maidenhead4–0W
20 Octvs Horsham2–2D
17 Octvs Weston-super-Mare6–1W
3.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Chesham United – last 6

DLLLDL
31 Octvs Folkestone Invicta2–2D
27 Octvs Farnham Town2–4L
24 Oct@ Dagenham & Redbridge0–2L
20 Oct@ Forest Green0–5L
17 Octvs Forest Green0–0D
10 Octvs Chelmsford City0–5L
0.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Chesham United v Ebbsfleet United4–1

More National League South predictions

FT Chelmsford City2 Farnborough1 662410 1Chelmsford City to win 66%@1.50 ✓ FT Dagenham & Redbridge2 Billericay Town2 631621 1Dagenham & Redbridge to win 63%@1.95 ✗ FT Farnham Town3 Tonbridge Angels1 422236 GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.50 ✓ Postponed Folkestone Invicta Truro City 332146 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.50 FT Hampton & Richmond1 Maidenhead1 362341 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓ FT Hemel Hempstead Town1 Maidstone Utd2 322048 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓ FT Horsham2 AFC Totton3 642313 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓ FT Slough Town3 Walton & Hersham1 392140 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United?

On our numbers Ebbsfleet United have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Chesham United 14%.

How many goals will there be in Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

When is Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United?

Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stonebridge Road Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.