National League South · England · Focus Community Arena
Hemel Hempstead Town
Torquay
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Torquay prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hemel Hempstead Town 1.1 – 1.8 Torquay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Torquay shade it despite being away from home – 57% to win, against 24% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
Hemel Hempstead Town have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 per game. Torquay have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. Torquay come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.1 for Hemel Hempstead Town, 1.8 for Torquay). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.55.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Torquay to win | 57% | 1.75 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 82% | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 59% | 1.69 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 | 1.17 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | 1.53 |
| Half-time result | Torquay ahead at half-time | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Torquay / FT Torquay | 34% | 2.95 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 10% | 9.60 | – |
Form
Hemel Hempstead Town – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs Maidstone Utd | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Oct | @ Billericay Town | 0–5 | L |
| 27 Oct | @ Dorking Wanderers | 3–3 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs AFC Totton | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Dagenham & Redbridge | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Slough Town | 2–0 | W |
Torquay – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Walton & Hersham | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | @ AFC Totton | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Maidstone Utd | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Oxford City | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Slough Town | 5–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Tonbridge Angels | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hemel Hempstead Town and Torquay.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Torquay?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Torquay?
On our numbers Hemel Hempstead Town have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Torquay 57%.
How many goals will there be in Hemel Hempstead Town vs Torquay?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Torquay?
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Torquay (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Focus Community Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.