National League North · England · The Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe

LWWWL
Tue 10 Nov 2026

Hereford

WLLWL

Morecambe vs Hereford prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMorecambe to win48% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010% · fair 9.73

Win chances

Morecambe48%fair 2.08 · @2.15
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.50
Hereford31%fair 3.18 · @2.80
2.70Expected goals
1.53Morecambe xG
1.17Hereford xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Morecambe 1.5 – 1.2 Hereford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Morecambe hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 31% for Hereford.

Morecambe have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.8 per game. Hereford have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.

We expect around 2.7 goals (1.5 for Morecambe, 1.2 for Hereford). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.30.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMorecambe to win48%2.082.15
Double chanceEither team to win80%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score59%1.691.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals77%1.301.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals54%1.851.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals67%1.491.50
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Morecambe / FT Morecambe27%3.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010%9.73–

Form

Morecambe – last 6

LWWWLL
7 Nov@ Hednesford Town2–6L
31 Octvs Scarborough Athletic2–0W
27 Octvs Darlington 18831–0W
24 Oct@ Merthyr Town3–1W
17 Oct@ AFC Rushden & Diamonds1–2L
10 Oct@ Worksop Town1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Hereford – last 6

WLLWLD
7 Nov@ Chorley2–1W
31 Octvs King's Lynn Town0–3L
27 Octvs AFC Telford United0–1L
24 Oct@ Macclesfield2–1W
10 Octvs Hednesford Town0–1L
26 Sep@ Bedford Town1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Morecambe and Hereford.

More National League North predictions

Scarborough Athletic Marine 442036 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 Darlington 1883 Oxford City 232157 2Oxford City to win 57%@1.95

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Morecambe vs Hereford?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Morecambe vs Hereford?

On our numbers Morecambe have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hereford 31%.

How many goals will there be in Morecambe vs Hereford?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

When is Morecambe vs Hereford?

Morecambe vs Hereford (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Mazuma Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.