Regionalliga Nord · Germany · Marschweg-Stadion
VfB Oldenburg
St. Pauli II
VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: VfB Oldenburg 2.6 – 1.2 St. Pauli II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
VfB Oldenburg are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 13% for St. Pauli II.
VfB Oldenburg have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. St. Pauli II have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded. VfB Oldenburg come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.8 goals (2.6 for VfB Oldenburg, 1.2 for St. Pauli II). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, VfB Oldenburg have won 1, St. Pauli II have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.29 is close to our fair price of 1.39.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | VfB Oldenburg to win ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.33 |
| Double chance | VfB Oldenburg or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.14 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.47 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.04 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.29 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.86 |
| Half-time result | VfB Oldenburg ahead at half-time ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT VfB Oldenburg / FT VfB Oldenburg ✗ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.07 | – |
Form
VfB Oldenburg – last 6
| 30 Oct | @ Atlas Delmenhorst | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs HSC Hannover | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Hamburger SV II | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Kickers Emden | 4–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Weiche Flensburg | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs SSV Jeddeloh | 1–3 | L |
St. Pauli II – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Eimsbütteler TV | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Weiche Flensburg | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ VfB Lübeck | 1–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs HSC Hannover | 3–4 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Kickers Emden | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ SV DrochtersenAssel | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 19 Apr 2026 | VfB Oldenburg v St. Pauli II | 4–1 |
More Regionalliga Nord predictions
Eimsbütteler TV0
Todesfelde0
GGBoth teams to score
65%@1.57
✗
FT
Werder Bremen II0
Bremer SV1
GGBoth teams to score
66%@1.43
✗
FT
Atlas Delmenhorst1
Schöningen3
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
67%@1.33
✗
FT
Hannover 96 II3
Weiche Flensburg2
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
69%@1.35
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II?
On our numbers VfB Oldenburg have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St. Pauli II 13%.
How many goals will there be in VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II?
VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II (Regionalliga Nord) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Marschweg-Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.