1. Lig · Turkey

Muğlaspor

LWWLD
0–5
FT

Esenler Erokspor

WLWDW

Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Esenler Erokspor to win @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultEsenler Erokspor to win ✓56% · @1.93
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.99

Win chances

Muğlaspor25%fair 3.98 · @3.32
Draw19%fair 5.31 · @3.34
Esenler Erokspor56%fair 1.78 · @1.93
2.73Expected goals
1.02Muğlaspor xG
1.71Esenler Erokspor xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–210%
1–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Muğlaspor 1.0 – 1.7 Esenler Erokspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Esenler Erokspor shade it despite being away from home – 56% to win, against 25% for Muğlaspor.

Muğlaspor have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.5 per game. Esenler Erokspor have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.

We expect around 2.7 goals (1.0 for Muğlaspor, 1.7 for Esenler Erokspor). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.34. For a bigger price, Esenler Erokspor to win at 1.93 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEsenler Erokspor to win ✓56%1.781.93 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.66
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.941.78
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.441.32
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Esenler Erokspor / FT Esenler Erokspor ✓33%3.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%8.99–

Form

Muğlaspor – last 6

LWWLDD
2 Nov@ Kayserispor0–6L
24 Octvs İstanbulspor5–0W
19 Oct@ Manisa F.K.4–3W
15 Octvs Bursaspor0–3L
11 Oct@ Fatih Karagümrük1–1D
18 Sepvs Iğdır FK2–2D
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Esenler Erokspor – last 6

WLWDWL
30 Octvs Keçiörengücü3–2W
25 Oct@ Batman Petrolspor2–3L
19 Octvs Mardin 19694–2W
15 Oct@ Manisa F.K.1–1D
10 Oct@ İstanbulspor1–0W
19 Sepvs Fatih Karagümrük0–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Muğlaspor and Esenler Erokspor.

More 1. Lig predictions

FT Keçiörengücü1 Manisa F.K.0 641917 1Keçiörengücü to win 64%@1.64 ✓ FT Vanspor FK3 Sivasspor1 592021 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓ FT Pendikspor0 İstanbulspor2 612217 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

On our numbers Muğlaspor have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Esenler Erokspor 56%.

How many goals will there be in Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

When is Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.