1. Lig · Turkey
Bandırmaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Fatih Karagümrük to win @ 3.08 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bandırmaspor 1.3 – 1.2 Fatih Karagümrük expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Bandırmaspor and Fatih Karagümrük on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Bandırmaspor have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Fatih Karagümrük have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.3 for Bandırmaspor, 1.2 for Fatih Karagümrük). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Fatih Karagümrük to win at 3.08 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bandırmaspor to win ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | 2.13 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.27 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.79 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.69 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.23 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bandırmaspor / FT Bandırmaspor ✗ | 23% | 4.41 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.94 | – |
Form
Bandırmaspor – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Bursaspor | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Iğdır FK | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Bodrum FK | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Sivasspor | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Oct | @ Vanspor FK | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | vs Ümraniyespor | 0–1 | L |
Fatih Karagümrük – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Pendikspor | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Oct | vs Somaspor | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Sarıyer | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | vs Keçiörengücü | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Oct | @ Mardin 1969 | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Muğlaspor | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bandırmaspor and Fatih Karagümrük.
More 1. Lig predictions
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Ümraniyespor2
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X2Kayserispor or draw
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Mardin 19691
Batman Petrolspor1
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
On our numbers Bandırmaspor have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fatih Karagümrük 35%.
How many goals will there be in Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.