Süper Lig · Turkey · Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu

Samsunspor

LLLLL

1–0

Konyaspor

LWLDD

Samsunspor vs Konyaspor prediction & analysis

75%

Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating

1.25Odds

Value bet: Konyaspor to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultSamsunspor to win ✓39% · @2.38

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓9% · fair 10.99

Win chances

Samsunspor39%fair 2.59 · @2.38

Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.25

Konyaspor37%fair 2.68 · @2.88

2.71Expected goals

1.37Samsunspor xG

1.34Konyaspor xG

60%Both score

50%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

1–09%

0–19%

2–18%

1–28%

0–07%

From our goals model: Samsunspor 1.4 – 1.3 Konyaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Samsunspor and Konyaspor on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Samsunspor have taken 0 points from their last 6 matches (0W 0D 6L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 3.3 per game. Konyaspor have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 0.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. Konyaspor come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 for Samsunspor, 1.3 for Konyaspor). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 0–1 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Samsunspor have won 0, Konyaspor have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Konyaspor to win at 2.88 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Samsunspor to win ✓	39%	2.59	2.38
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.66	1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	75%	1.33	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	50%	1.98	1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	71%	1.41	1.33
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.37	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Samsunspor / FT Samsunspor ✓	22%	4.56	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✓	9%	10.99	–

Form

Samsunspor – last 6

LLLLLL

1 Nov	@ Başakşehir	2–5	L
24 Oct	vs Amed	1–2	L
18 Oct	@ Kasımpaşa	1–4	L
10 Oct	vs Trabzonspor	0–3	L
20 Sep	@ Erzurumspor FK	0–1	L
12 Sep	vs Çorum FK	1–5	L

0.8Scored / game

3.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Konyaspor – last 6

LWLDDW

30 Oct	vs Galatasaray	0–4	L
25 Oct	vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.	2–0	W
17 Oct	@ Amed	0–1	L
11 Oct	vs Başakşehir	0–0	D
18 Sep	@ Kasımpaşa	0–0	D
12 Sep	vs Trabzonspor	1–0	W

0.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

0%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026

Samsunspor v Konyaspor

2–2

Süper Lig table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Galatasaray	11	9	1	1	+12	28
2	Trabzonspor	11	8	1	2	+18	25
3	Amed	11	7	2	2	+13	23
4	Beşiktaş	11	7	1	3	+11	22
5	Kasımpaşa	11	5	5	1	+6	20
6	Fenerbahçe	11	6	1	4	+19	19
7	Kocaelispor	11	6	1	4	+4	19
8	Başakşehir	11	5	2	4	+2	17
9	Çorum FK	11	5	1	5	0	16
10	Göztepe	11	4	3	4	+3	15
11	Rizespor	11	4	2	5	-3	14
12	Erzurumspor FK	11	4	2	5	-7	14
13	Alanyaspor	11	3	3	5	-9	12
14	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	11	3	2	6	-9	11
15	Konyaspor	11	2	2	7	-8	8
16	Gaziantep FK	11	2	2	7	-10	8
17	Samsunspor	11	2	1	8	-15	7
18	Eyüpspor	11	1	0	10	-27	3

More Süper Lig predictions

League hub →

Eyüpspor0

Kocaelispor2 172063 X2Kocaelispor or draw 83%@1.28 ✓ FT

Galatasaray4

Amed3 652213 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✓ FT

Göztepe1

Başakşehir2 492031 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

On our numbers Samsunspor have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Konyaspor 37%.

How many goals will there be in Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

When is Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

Samsunspor vs Konyaspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.